Dep. Santamarina vs Douglas Haig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
23.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 1
RSA
29%
30%
41%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
RSA
2 - 0
GIM
47%
29%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 1
RSA
21%
27%
52%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
RSA
0 - 1
AND
52%
27%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CDN
3 - 1
RSA
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CSE
2 - 1
DHA
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
DHA
1 - 3
BUC
41%
27%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
DHA
2 - 0
PAR
56%
26%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GIM
2 - 0
DHA
42%
29%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
DHA
0 - 1
ALM
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |