Dep. Santamarina vs Dep. Maipú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
29.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 1
RSA
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CIP
3 - 2
RSA
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RSA
0 - 0
DFR
68%
21%
12%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
RSA
38%
27%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
RAC
2 - 2
RSA
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Dep. Maipú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MAI
2 - 1
DFR
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
MAI
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAI
3 - 0
DES
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 2
MAI
38%
29%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 0
RIV
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +2 |