Dep. Santamarina vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
RSA
4 - 0
GBR
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 1
CIP
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DFR
1 - 0
RSA
25%
28%
47%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 0
UNI
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
RSA
1 - 1
DES
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
DFR
2 - 0
MAI
29%
29%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
GBR
0 - 0
DFR
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DFR
1 - 0
RSA
25%
28%
47%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2012 |
DFR
2 - 0
CIP
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
DFR
1 - 0
UNI
32%
27%
42%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |