Dep. Santamarina vs Boca Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
AND
0 - 0
RSA
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
RSA
0 - 1
UNI
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
RSA
0 - 0
SPB
58%
25%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
CSE
1 - 3
RSA
23%
27%
50%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
RSA
3 - 0
GIM
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
BUC
0 - 1
INS
32%
29%
39%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
GBR
2 - 0
BUC
25%
25%
49%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2015 |
ATT
3 - 1
BUC
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
BUC
0 - 1
DAL
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
FER
2 - 1
BUC
27%
29%
44%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |