Dep. Santamarina vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
11.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 2
RSA
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 0
DFR
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
RSA
4 - 0
GBR
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 1
CIP
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DFR
1 - 0
RSA
25%
28%
47%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
ALV
0 - 1
DFR
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALV
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ALV
0 - 0
AGR
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
ALV
0 - 0
DES
33%
28%
40%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 0
ALV
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |