Dep. Santamarina vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
40%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 0
RSA
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 0
RSA
53%
27%
20%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 2
STM
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DAL
1 - 0
RSA
41%
28%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 0
SMA
27%
29%
44%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 0
DEF
42%
30%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
STM
2 - 1
ALM
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 2
DAL
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 1
ALM
54%
26%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
ALM
5 - 0
BRO
37%
30%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |