Dep. Roca vs Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 0
DRO
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
DRO
2 - 1
INN
43%
25%
31%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CIP
3 - 0
DRO
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
DRO
48%
25%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
DRO
1 - 1
DEP
31%
25%
43%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 2
INN
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
CIP
1 - 0
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 1
DEP
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
DRO
48%
25%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
INN
0 - 0
VIL
51%
24%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |