Dep. Roca vs Independiente Neuquén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SDM
1 - 1
DRO
49%
25%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
DRO
54%
25%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
DRO
2 - 2
DEP
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
FER
1 - 0
DRO
36%
27%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
DRO
2 - 3
ALV
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Independiente Neuquén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
INN
2 - 2
ALV
31%
28%
41%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
INN
2 - 2
VIL
33%
27%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CIP
0 - 0
INN
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
INN
1 - 0
SDM
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
INN
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |