Dep. Roca vs Independiente Neuquén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 1
DRO
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DEP
4 - 0
DRO
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
DRO
0 - 0
CIP
47%
24%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
INN
1 - 0
DRO
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
DRO
3 - 1
VIL
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Independiente Neuquén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
INN
3 - 2
DEP
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
INN
2 - 2
CIP
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 3
INN
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
INN
1 - 0
DRO
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 1
INN
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |