Dep. Roca vs Independiente Neuquén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 1
DRO
48%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
DRO
0 - 1
CIP
51%
24%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CAI
3 - 0
DRO
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DRO
2 - 1
ALI
76%
16%
9%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DRO
2 - 0
GBR
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Neuquén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
INN
2 - 1
CGB
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
GBR
3 - 1
INN
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
INN
67%
20%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
INN
0 - 0
CIP
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
INN
0 - 3
CAI
24%
23%
54%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |