Dep. Roca vs Independiente Neuquén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FER
1 - 1
DRO
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
DRO
2 - 2
DEP
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ALV
0 - 1
DRO
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
DRO
1 - 0
CIP
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
GBR
3 - 0
DRO
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Neuquén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
INN
3 - 0
CAI
22%
22%
56%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
INN
2 - 2
FER
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 1
INN
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
INN
1 - 1
ALV
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAI
2 - 0
INN
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |