Dep. Roca vs Gimnasia Mendoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
45.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
EST
6 - 1
DRO
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
DRO
1 - 0
CIP
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CIP
1 - 0
DRO
44%
26%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 2
DRO
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
DRO
4 - 0
INN
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Gimnasia Mendoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
GIM
1 - 0
FER
66%
21%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MAI
1 - 0
GIM
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
GIM
3 - 1
JUU
60%
23%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
JUU
0 - 2
GIM
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 3
GIM
25%
28%
47%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |