Dep. Roca vs Deportivo Madryn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
39.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ALV
3 - 0
DRO
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
DRO
3 - 1
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CGB
2 - 0
DRO
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
INN
0 - 1
DRO
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
DRO
1 - 3
MAI
38%
28%
34%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Madryn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 0
FER
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 0
JAN
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
JAN
2 - 2
DEP
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 1
AGR
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 0
VIL
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |