Copa Argentina 1/128
Global 5-1
Dep. Roca vs Cipolletti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
DRO
0 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 0
DRO
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
DRO
1 - 0
FER
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ALV
0 - 0
DRO
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
DRO
2 - 0
VIL
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Cipolletti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
INN
0 - 1
CIP
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
CIP
3 - 0
SDM
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
CIP
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CIP
5 - 3
DEP
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
FER
2 - 2
CIP
46%
27%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |