Dep. Roca vs CAI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
DRO
3 - 1
INN
61%
21%
17%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FER
1 - 1
DRO
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
DRO
2 - 2
DEP
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ALV
0 - 1
DRO
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
DRO
1 - 0
CIP
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
CAI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAI
4 - 1
CIP
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
INN
3 - 0
CAI
22%
22%
56%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CAI
3 - 1
ALI
79%
15%
7%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAI
1 - 2
CGB
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAI
2 - 0
INN
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |