Copa Argentina 1/64
Global 2-2
Dep. Roca vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
CIP
0 - 2
DRO
45%
27%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
DRO
3 - 1
CIP
42%
26%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
DRO
0 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 0
DRO
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
DRO
1 - 0
FER
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
ALV
1 - 0
SDM
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
ALV
39%
29%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
ALV
3 - 0
DEP
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
FER
1 - 2
ALV
30%
28%
42%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ALV
0 - 0
DRO
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |