Dep. Roca vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
DRO
42%
27%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
DRO
1 - 0
CIP
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
INN
0 - 0
DRO
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
DRO
2 - 2
SDM
72%
18%
11%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
DRO
1 - 1
DEP
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
ALV
2 - 2
VIL
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CIP
0 - 1
ALV
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ALV
1 - 0
INN
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
BOC
6 - 0
ALV
87%
10%
3%
|
46 | 83 | 37 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
DFR
0 - 0
ALV
61%
24%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |