1a B Ap. Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Deportivo Rionegro vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Rionegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
REA
2 - 0
RIO
21%
24%
55%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 1
CAR
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 2
BUC
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
RIO
18%
23%
59%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 1
COR
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
TFC
0 - 2
JAG
23%
29%
48%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 0
CUC
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
JAG
1 - 1
QUI
43%
29%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 2
JAG
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
JAG
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |