Deportivo Rionegro vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Rionegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
RIO
36%
27%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 2
PAS
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BUC
2 - 1
RIO
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
4 - 1
ENV
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
PAT
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
TFC
2 - 2
FOR
46%
26%
29%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
BOG
33%
28%
40%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
PAC
2 - 0
FOR
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
ALI
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 0
HUI
19%
22%
59%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | +2 |