Deportivo Rionegro vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
57%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Rionegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
TFC
2 - 2
RIO
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
IND
4 - 3
RIO
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 1
FOR
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
RIO
36%
27%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 2
PAS
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 0
CUC
62%
24%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
HUI
1 - 3
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
ENV
0 - 0
NAC
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
4 - 1
JUN
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SFE
0 - 0
NAC
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |