Deportivo Rionegro vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Rionegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
RSC
3 - 0
RIO
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
AFC
73%
18%
10%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
REA
2 - 2
RIO
40%
27%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
RIO
4 - 0
CEN
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 2
RIO
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 1
BOG
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 0
ALI
44%
26%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 1
BAR
60%
24%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 1
RSC
41%
28%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 4
ALI
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |