Deportivo Rincón vs Juventud Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
34.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
2º
1º
12
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
16 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 12 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 12 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 12 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 6 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Rincón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
FER
0 - 1
SAU
38%
28%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
GER
0 - 0
SAU
59%
24%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 1
VIL
16%
28%
56%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
RSA
3 - 2
SAU
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 0
CDC
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
JUU
0 - 1
CSE
52%
27%
21%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
JUU
0 - 1
GUT
43%
30%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
CSE
0 - 1
JUU
32%
28%
40%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
JUU
0 - 2
ATE
43%
29%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
HHE
1 - 2
JUU
32%
30%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |