Dep. Riestra vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
48.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
DEF
1 - 0
RIE
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
RIE
1 - 3
GIM
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
DAL
1 - 1
RIE
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
RIE
3 - 3
RAF
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
RIE
1 - 1
DAL
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SAR
1 - 0
SMA
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
GIM
2 - 3
SAR
34%
28%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
SAR
0 - 0
DAL
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
SAR
3 - 0
DHA
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
DAL
1 - 0
SAR
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |