Dep. Riestra vs CA San Miguel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
RIE
2 - 1
ITU
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 0
RIE
32%
30%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
RIE
1 - 0
JUU
55%
27%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2013 |
JUU
1 - 0
RIE
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
RIE
0 - 0
LUG
66%
22%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CA San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 1
SMG
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
SMG
1 - 0
LIN
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 0
SMG
41%
30%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
SMG
0 - 0
JJU
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SAC
2 - 1
SMG
55%
26%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |