Dep. Riestra vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
44.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 0
RIE
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
RIE
2 - 0
CHI
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 0
RIE
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
RIE
3 - 1
ATL
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
MIT
0 - 2
RIE
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 0
BEL
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 0
SMA
26%
29%
46%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
SMA
3 - 1
CHI
73%
19%
8%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 3
SMA
24%
28%
48%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
SMA
3 - 0
ATL
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |