Dep. Riestra vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SBA
4 - 1
RIE
21%
26%
53%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
RIE
3 - 2
SMA
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 3
RIE
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
RIE
2 - 1
MUÑ
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
POR
1 - 2
RIE
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 1
SMG
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
YUP
0 - 1
ALE
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
ALE
0 - 1
LUG
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
JUU
1 - 1
ALE
45%
27%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
ALE
4 - 0
VIC
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |