Dep. Riestra vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2016 |
RIE
0 - 1
MOR
35%
28%
38%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
TAL
1 - 0
RIE
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
RIE
2 - 0
COL
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ACA
3 - 0
RIE
29%
28%
43%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
PLA
1 - 0
RIE
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 0
EXC
48%
30%
23%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 1
ALM
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
STM
0 - 1
EXC
53%
26%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 2
PLA
45%
28%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 2
COL
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |