Dep. Riestra vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
24.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
RIE
1 - 2
AGR
30%
29%
42%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MAI
3 - 1
RIE
30%
29%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
RIE
0 - 0
TEM
38%
29%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
RIE
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
RIE
0 - 0
GIM
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 0
SUA
33%
29%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
RSA
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
RSA
2 - 0
MOR
29%
29%
42%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
CAG
3 - 0
RSA
49%
28%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
RSA
1 - 1
ALM
30%
30%
40%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |