Dep. Riestra vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
BRO
3 - 0
RIE
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
RIE
2 - 4
COL
42%
27%
31%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 0
RIE
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
RIE
2 - 2
ATL
29%
26%
46%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
COM
2 - 2
RIE
49%
27%
25%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
EST
20%
27%
53%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 2
MER
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
UAI
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
ARM
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BRO
3 - 0
MER
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |