Dep. Riestra vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 5
RIE
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
RIE
1 - 2
STM
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
RIE
0 - 0
FEN
42%
28%
30%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
RIE
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
RIE
1 - 4
UAI
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 0
ALM
41%
30%
29%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 0
PLA
47%
30%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
FEN
0 - 2
DEF
48%
28%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 1
BAR
36%
31%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
UAI
0 - 0
DEF
41%
30%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |