Dep. Riestra vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
34.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
JJU
1 - 1
RIE
20%
24%
56%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
RIE
2 - 0
CAD
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BER
1 - 4
RIE
18%
24%
58%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
RIE
2 - 0
MID
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LAM
2 - 0
RIE
24%
27%
50%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 0
TAL
62%
25%
14%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LUJ
0 - 0
DEF
16%
26%
58%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 1
DOC
61%
25%
14%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 1
JJU
68%
22%
10%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CAD
0 - 3
DEF
24%
29%
47%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |