Dep. Riestra vs Colegiales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ACA
3 - 0
RIE
29%
28%
43%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
PLA
1 - 0
RIE
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
RIE
1 - 0
COM
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
RIE
63%
23%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
RIE
2 - 5
EST
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
COL
0 - 2
DEF
47%
28%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 2
COL
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 2
COL
42%
28%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
COL
2 - 4
STM
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
PLA
1 - 1
COL
40%
28%
33%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |