Dep. Riestra vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
JUU
1 - 1
RIE
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
RIE
0 - 0
ALE
62%
23%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SBA
4 - 1
RIE
21%
26%
53%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
RIE
3 - 2
SMA
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 3
RIE
23%
26%
51%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LUG
2 - 0
SMG
38%
29%
34%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
YUP
2 - 2
LUG
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 2
VIC
43%
27%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
JUU
35%
29%
36%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
ALE
0 - 1
LUG
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |