Dep. Riestra vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
27.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 0
RIE
40%
31%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
RIE
0 - 0
SMA
26%
30%
44%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
RIE
1 - 0
FER
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SUA
1 - 1
RIE
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
RIE
1 - 0
AGR
34%
30%
36%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 1
CAG
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 0
BRO
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 2
GIM
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
STM
1 - 1
BRO
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 2
CFE
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |