Dep. Riestra vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.6%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
34.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
RIE
51%
27%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
RIE
0 - 0
DEP
38%
29%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
RIE
44%
29%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
RIE
1 - 2
TEM
39%
29%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 0
RIE
44%
27%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ALV
2 - 1
CAG
43%
30%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ALB
3 - 1
ALV
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 0
GIM
35%
29%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
STM
0 - 1
ALV
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 3
CFE
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |