Dep. Riestra vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
25.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
TIG
3 - 0
RIE
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
RIE
0 - 1
QUI
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
PLA
0 - 0
RIE
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 1
RIE
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
RIE
1 - 0
TEM
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ALV
0 - 1
BEL
24%
29%
47%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 0
ALV
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
TIG
1 - 1
ALV
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 2
ALV
66%
22%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
ALV
3 - 0
IRV
37%
28%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |