Dep. Riestra vs Almirante Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
22.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 3
RIE
33%
28%
40%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
RIE
4 - 0
CHA
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 2
RIE
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
RIE
2 - 0
MIT
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
EST
2 - 1
RIE
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 0
BEL
21%
29%
50%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
SMA
2 - 2
ALM
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 0
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
ALM
43%
28%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 1
ATL
27%
28%
45%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |