Rayo Zuliano vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
43.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
14º
8º
33
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
65.5% | 34.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
34.5% | 65.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Zuliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 2
DRZ
48%
27%
24%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DRZ
1 - 1
MET
29%
29%
42%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
DRZ
0 - 0
CAR
28%
30%
42%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ZAM
0 - 0
DRZ
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 3
DRZ
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
MON
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
EST
32%
25%
43%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
EST
0 - 2
CFC
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MET
0 - 1
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
UCV
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |