Rayo Zuliano vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
11%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
43.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
13º
13º
12
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
7 | 7 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Zuliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DRZ
3 - 1
POR
35%
30%
35%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DRZ
1 - 0
APC
21%
27%
52%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DRZ
0 - 0
CFC
30%
29%
42%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DRZ
2 - 1
ANG
40%
28%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 0
DRZ
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 0
DEP
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MON
2 - 3
CFC
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 3
MET
55%
23%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
APC
1 - 1
CFC
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 0
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |