Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 2-1
Dep. Quito vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
QUI
1 - 0
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
UNI
0 - 0
QUI
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
QUI
2 - 2
OLM
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
EME
1 - 0
QUI
44%
26%
29%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
QUI
2 - 1
DPT
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 2
SPO
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
UNI
0 - 0
QUI
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
GAL
2 - 0
UNI
35%
30%
35%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 0
MEL
68%
21%
11%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2008 |
SBO
2 - 1
UNI
34%
30%
37%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |