Dep. Quito vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 1
QUI
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 2
MUS
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
UCE
2 - 1
QUI
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 3
CUE
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
BSC
3 - 0
QUI
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
UCE
1 - 0
RIV
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 3
UCE
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
UCE
2 - 1
QUI
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 1
UCE
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
UCE
3 - 0
LOJ
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |