Dep. Quito vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
LIG
3 - 1
QUI
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 1
RIV
53%
25%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LOJ
1 - 1
QUI
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 1
NAC
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 3
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
UCE
0 - 1
MUS
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
UCE
1 - 1
LIG
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
UCE
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
UCE
1 - 3
LOJ
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BSC
2 - 0
UCE
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |