Dep. Quito vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
UCE
2 - 1
QUI
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 3
CUE
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
BSC
3 - 0
QUI
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 4
LIG
37%
30%
33%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 1
AUC
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MUS
3 - 1
AUC
36%
28%
37%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 2
MUS
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 3
LIG
29%
30%
41%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
LOJ
2 - 1
MUS
44%
28%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MUS
2 - 4
IVT
24%
26%
51%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |