Dep. Quito vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1989 |
QUI
1 - 1
NAC
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
EME
1 - 0
QUI
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1986 |
QUI
0 - 0
BSC
67%
19%
15%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1986 |
COT
3 - 1
QUI
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 1986 |
BAN
3 - 3
QUI
64%
19%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1989 |
EME
0 - 2
MIL
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1989 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1988 |
MIL
6 - 1
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 1988 |
MIL
3 - 0
MWA
55%
21%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 1988 |
AME
2 - 1
MIL
67%
19%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |