Dep. Quito vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
QUI
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 0
QUI
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 0
EME
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
EME
0 - 1
QUI
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 0
QUI
25%
29%
46%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 1
LIG
29%
30%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 0
QUI
25%
29%
46%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
OLM
0 - 1
MAN
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 1
EME
24%
28%
48%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
IMB
4 - 2
MAN
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |