Dep. Quito vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
IND
2 - 0
QUI
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
BSC
3 - 1
QUI
39%
29%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 0
BSC
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
CUE
2 - 0
QUI
36%
30%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
LIG
1 - 1
QUI
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 0
LIG
29%
28%
43%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
OLM
2 - 2
MAN
44%
28%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 2
EME
28%
28%
44%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
UCE
3 - 0
MAN
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 0
ESP
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |