Dep. Quito vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 0
LIG
44%
26%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 1
QUI
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
QUI
2 - 2
OLM
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
EME
2 - 0
QUI
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 0
ESP
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 2
MAC
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LIG
4 - 0
MAN
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 0
EME
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
TEC
2 - 3
MAN
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 1
OLM
40%
28%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |