Dep. Quito vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 1
MAN
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
IND
2 - 0
QUI
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
BSC
3 - 1
QUI
39%
29%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 0
BSC
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
CUE
2 - 0
QUI
36%
30%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
IND
2 - 0
QUI
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
BOC
2 - 0
IND
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
IND
2 - 3
SLO
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2010 |
HUR
1 - 0
IND
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2010 |
IND
3 - 1
GOI
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |