Dep. Quito vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
3 - 0
BSC
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 0
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
QUI
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
0 - 1
IVT
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
EME
2 - 2
QUI
41%
28%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TIG
2 - 1
CHI
57%
25%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 2
VEL
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
AME
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
EST
1 - 0
CHI
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 0
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |