Dep. Quito vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 0
QUI
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 1
LIG
53%
27%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
CUE
2 - 2
QUI
31%
28%
41%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 2
UCE
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 2
QUI
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 0
EME
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
EME
2 - 0
PEÑ
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
LOJ
1 - 2
EME
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
EME
1 - 0
MAN
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 1
EME
24%
27%
49%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |